My new obsession is the same as my old one: change.
How do we survive sudden, drastic change?
Plate I · Field notes on change
One loop, thirteen ways of seeing it
Ecologists call it the adaptive cycle: growth, rigidity, collapse, reorganization. Pick a framework below to see how other disciplines describe the same loop, and where the fit gets forced.
Front loop · slow, accumulatingBack loop · fast, disruptive
Left off on purpose: Three Horizons, Perez's technological surges, and punctuated equilibrium. They describe overlapping or stacked timescales, not a single loop, and forcing them onto this figure would misrepresent them.
Everyone wants to put their own name on something; I like to synthesize and find common ground. Below, I've compiled multiple atlases and maps of change, and discovered that they all deal with similar phases.
Interactive systems map
Maps of Change
Different frameworks describe overlapping parts of transformation. Toggle models on and off, then click a stage to see how each framework interprets the same territory.
Change has shapes. Resilience is how we move through them.
Shared landscape
Overlapping models
What changes?
Resilience task
Key distinction
Panarchy maps a cycle. Resilience is the capacity to keep adapting through changing conditions.